Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 18, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
River Plate2 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between River Plate and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Penarol |
| 46.81% | 25.24% | 27.95% |
| Both teams to score 53.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
