Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Huancayo win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Huancayo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Huancayo would win this match.