Copa Libertadores
May 3, 2023 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Jhilmar Lora 80' goal

Sporting Cristal vs The Strongest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 20, 2023 1.00am
River Plate 4 - 2 Cristal

The Strongest

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 11.00pm
Fluminense 1 - 0 The Strongest

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.

Result

Sporting Cristal 61.63% (-1.17)
Draw 22.58% (+0.42)
The Strongest 15.78% (+0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.26% (+0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.7% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 52.29% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 26% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 73.99% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 12% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 87.99% (+0.19)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 83.47% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 16.52% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 53.73% (-0.94)
Under 1.5 46.26% (+0.93)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5 54.21% (+0.82)
Under 0.5 45.78% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 18.44% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 81.55% (-0.64)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 61.62%
Draw 22.57%
The Strongest 15.78%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.29)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 61.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 7.56% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 3.74% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.57%
The Strongest
0-1 @ 5.91% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 4.16% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 2.31% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 1.08% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 15.78%