Sporting Cristal
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima

Cristal
1 - 0
The Strongest

Lora (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and The Strongest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

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Last Game: Palmeiras 6-0 Cristal
Thursday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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The Strongest

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Last Game: Bahia 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, February 26 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.

Result
Sporting CristalDrawThe Strongest
61.63% (-1.164 -1.16)22.58% (0.416 0.42)15.78% (0.739 0.74)
Both teams to score 45.26% (0.411 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.345 -0.34)52.29% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-0.301 -0.3)73.99% (0.291 0.29)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.51599999999999 -0.52)16.52% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-0.931 -0.93)46.26% (0.922 0.92)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (0.819 0.82)45.78% (-0.826 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.44% (0.631 0.63)81.55% (-0.639 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Cristal 61.62%
    The Strongest 15.78%
    Draw 22.57%
Sporting CristalDrawThe Strongest
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.212 0.21)
1-2 @ 4.16% (0.173 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 15.78%

How you voted: Cristal vs The Strongest

Sporting Cristal
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
The Strongest
80.0%
5