Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Palmeiras
30.02% ( -0.01)	26.85% ( -0.01)	43.12% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.84% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

0.02)

55.03% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

0.02)

76.29% (

-0.02)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

33.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1% (

0.01)

69.9% (

-0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

0.02)

25.29% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93% (

0.02)

60.06% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Bahia 30.02%

Palmeiras 43.12%

Draw 26.85%

Bahia	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.02%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.12%