Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.