Copa Sudamericana
May 24, 2023 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Gonzalo Lujan 17' goal
  • Silvio Romero 25' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 90'+7' goal
  • goal Gonzalo Maroni 20'
  • goal Gonzalo Maroni 56'

Fortaleza vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 5, 2023 1.00am
Fortaleza 6 - 1 Estudiantes

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 3, 2023 11.00pm
Palestino 0 - 0 San Lorenzo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result

Fortaleza 53.28% (-0.08)
Draw 26.53% (+0.04)
San Lorenzo 20.2% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.19% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.47% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 60.53% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 19.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.64% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 7.97% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 92.03% (+0.03)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 77.06% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 22.94% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 43.29% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 56.71% (+0.09)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 54.75% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 45.26% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 18.86% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 81.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fortaleza 53.27%
Draw 26.52%
San Lorenzo 20.2%
Fortaleza
1-0 @ 15.28% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.25% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 53.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.38% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.52%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 8.23% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 20.2%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 20, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
  • goal Augusto Batalla 90' (OG)
  • goal Guilherme 90'+2'