Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	San Lorenzo
53.28% ( -0.08)	26.53% ( 0.03)	20.2% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 42.19% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.47% (

-0.05)

60.53% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

-0.04)

80.64% (

0.04)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06% (

-0.06)

22.94% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.29% (

-0.08)

56.71% (

0.09)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.75% (

0.02)

45.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.86% (

0.02)

81.14% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 53.27%

San Lorenzo 20.2%

Draw 26.52%

Fortaleza	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 15.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 53.27%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.2%