San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
May 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Instituto

Vombergar (71' pen., 87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-2 San Lorenzo
Saturday, May 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Instituto

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 1-0 Colon
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawInstituto
49.99% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)28.19% (0.035 0.04)21.82% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.1% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.72% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)64.28% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.61% (-0.061 -0.06)83.39% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)26.12% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)61.18% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)45.72% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.5% (-0.029 -0.03)81.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 49.99%
    Instituto 21.82%
    Draw 28.19%
San LorenzoDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 16.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 49.99%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 11.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.82%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!