Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 15, 2023 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Nicolas Fernandez 54' goal

Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 12, 2023 1.30am
Banfield 0 - 3 Defensa
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nicolas Fernandez

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 12, 2023 1.30am
Instituto 1 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Emmanuel Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result

Defensa y Justicia 45.97% (+0.05)
Draw 26.05% (+0.07)
Instituto 27.98% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.09% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.14% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 52.85% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 25.53% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 74.47% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 11.69% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 88.3% (+0.17)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 77.05% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 22.95% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 43.27% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 56.73% (+0.16)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 66.31% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 33.68% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 29.66% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 70.33% (+0.26)

Score analysis

Defensa y Justicia 45.96%
Draw 26.04%
Instituto 27.98%
Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.37% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.37% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 45.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.73% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.04%
Instituto
0-1 @ 8.41% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.98%