Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 15, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 0Instituto
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Instituto.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banfield 0-3 Defensa
Wednesday, April 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, April 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Instituto 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, April 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, April 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Instituto |
45.97% ( 0.04) | 26.05% ( 0.06) | 27.98% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
