Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 42.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.