Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 42.44%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Platense had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.72%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.