Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Platense had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.