Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.