Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 23, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
 

Instituto
1 - 1
Banfield

Varela (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bizans (42' pen.)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Banfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Instituto
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Banfield 1-0 C. Cordoba
Monday, April 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 44.16%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.38%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawBanfield
44.16% (-0.128 -0.13)30.08% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)25.76% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 39.06% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.49% (0.020999999999999 0.02)85.51% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)30.65% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)66.89% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Banfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.32% (0.129 0.13)43.68% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (0.106 0.11)79.86% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 44.16%
    Banfield 25.75%
    Draw 30.07%
InstitutoDrawBanfield
1-0 @ 15.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 44.16%
0-0 @ 13.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.07%
0-1 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.75%