Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.