Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Teniente
San Lorenzo

Palestino
0 - 0
San Lorenzo

FT
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palestino 1-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 San Lorenzo
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
PalestinoDrawSan Lorenzo
35.28% (-1.904 -1.9)28.76% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)35.96% (1.9 1.9)
Both teams to score 45.56% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02% (0.052 0.05)60.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)80.98% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (-1.193 -1.19)32.72% (1.192 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (-1.355 -1.36)69.27% (1.356 1.36)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (1.285 1.29)32.28% (-1.285 -1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22% (1.428 1.43)68.78% (-1.429 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 35.27%
    San Lorenzo 35.96%
    Draw 28.76%
PalestinoDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.459 -0.46)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.27%
1-1 @ 13.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 11.94% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.264 0.26)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.446 0.45)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.25 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.96%

How you voted: Palestino vs San Lorenzo

Palestino
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
San Lorenzo
20.0%
5