Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 19, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio El Teniente

Palestino
1 - 0
Estudiantes

Davila (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Estudiantes Merida.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

Last Game: Fortaleza 4-0 Palestino
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Estudiantes Merida

Last Game: Estudiantes 0-1 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palestino in this match.

Result
Palestino	Draw	Estudiantes Merida
51.63% ( -0.01)	23.8% ( 0.01)	24.57% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95% (

-0.07)

46.05% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65% (

-0.07)

68.35% (

0.06)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

-0.03)

17.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.4% (

-0.05)

48.6% (

0.05)

Estudiantes Merida Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

-0.04)

32.81% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

-0.05)

69.38% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Palestino 51.63%

Estudiantes Merida 24.57%

Draw 23.8%

Palestino	Draw	Estudiantes Merida
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.63%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 24.57%