Copa Sudamericana
Apr 19, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Teniente
  • Misael Davila 53' goal

Palestino vs Estudiantes Merida - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
Fortaleza 4 - 0 Palestino

Estudiantes Merida

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 1.00am
Estudiantes 0 - 1 San Lorenzo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palestino in this match.

Result

Palestino 51.63% (-0.02)
Draw 23.8% (+0.02)
Estudiantes Merida 24.57% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.95% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.05% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 31.65% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 68.35% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.82% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.17% (+0.05)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 82.15% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 17.84% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 51.4% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 48.6% (+0.05)

Estudiantes Merida Goals

Over 0.5 67.18% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.81% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.62% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 69.38% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Palestino 51.63%
Draw 23.8%
Estudiantes Merida 24.57%
Palestino
1-0 @ 10.09% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.8%
Estudiantes Merida
0-1 @ 6.52% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 24.57%