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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Barracas Central
3 - 0
Instituto

Alvarez (24'), Sepulveda (63'), Tapia (74' pen.)
Insua (18'), Capraro (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (6'), Cerato (54')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Barracas Central and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, April 29 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 0-2 C. Cordoba
Saturday, April 29 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Barracas CentralDrawInstituto
29.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 28.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 42.28% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.64% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)61.41% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.7% (-0.038 -0.04)81.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)28.72% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.061 -0.06)64.55% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Barracas Central 29.16%
    Instituto 42.27%
    Draw 28.54%
Barracas CentralDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.16%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 13.38%
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.27%

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