Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.