Copa Sudamericana
Apr 20, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Julian Lopez 49' goal
  • Alexis Soto 51' goal
  • goal Lucas Kal 63'

Defensa y Justicia vs America Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 3.00am
Millonarios 3 - 0 Defensa

America Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 6, 2023 1.00am
America Mineiro 4 - 1 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result

Defensa y Justicia 37.63% (-0.16)
Draw 26.77% (+0.02)
America Mineiro 35.6% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.63% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.55% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 53.45% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.02% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.97% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.37% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.62% (+0.03)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 72.46% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 27.53% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 36.95% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 63.05% (+0.14)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 71.26% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 28.74% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 35.42% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.57% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Defensa y Justicia 37.62%
Draw 26.76%
America Mineiro 35.6%
Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.91% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.76%
America Mineiro
0-1 @ 9.87% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.93% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.15% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.3% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.56% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.6%