Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	America Mineiro
37.63% ( -0.16)	26.77% ( 0.01)	35.6% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55% (

-0.05)

53.45% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02% (

-0.04)

74.97% (

0.03)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

-0.11)

27.53% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.95% (

-0.14)

63.05% (

0.14)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

0.06)

28.74% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

0.08)

64.57% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 37.62%

America Mineiro 35.6%

Draw 26.76%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.62%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.6%