America Mineiro vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.