Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio El Campin
America Mineiro

Millonarios
1 - 1
America Mineiro

Castro (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Azevedo (45+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Millonarios and America Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millonarios

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Last Game: Penarol 0-2 Millonarios
Thursday, April 20 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

America Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santos 3-2 America Mineiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MillonariosDrawAmerica Mineiro
42.04% (-0.339 -0.34)26.82% (0.142 0.14)31.14% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.489 -0.49)54.5% (0.487 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.41 -0.41)75.86% (0.407 0.41)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-0.396 -0.4)25.61% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (-0.544 -0.54)60.49% (0.542 0.54)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)32.2% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.127 -0.13)68.69% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Millonarios 42.04%
    America Mineiro 31.14%
    Draw 26.81%
MillonariosDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.04%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.155 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.14%