Copa Sudamericana
Apr 20, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • goal Elvis Perlaza 54'
  • goal Oscar Cortes 65'

Penarol vs Millonarios - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 6, 2023 1.00am
America Mineiro 4 - 1 Penarol

Millonarios

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 3.00am
Millonarios 3 - 0 Defensa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 44.48% (-0.08)
Draw 29.53% (+0.02)
Millonarios 25.98% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.45% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.27% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 65.73% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 15.6% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 84.4% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 5.93% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 94.06% (+0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 70.36% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 29.63% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.32% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.68% (+0.07)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5 57.49% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.51% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.13% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 78.87% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Penarol 44.48%
Draw 29.52%
Millonarios 25.98%
Penarol
1-0 @ 15.32%
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 44.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 12.59% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.52%
Millonarios
0-1 @ 10.77% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.61% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 25.98%