Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Abel Hernandez 37' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 73' goal

Penarol vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 10.00pm
Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Penarol
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matias Arezo

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Danubio 0 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Guillermo May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result

Penarol 46.82% (-0.01)
Draw 28.38% (+0.01)
Danubio 24.8% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.36% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.11% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 62.89% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 17.62% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 82.38% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 7% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 93% (+0.01)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 72.97% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.03% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.61% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.39% (+0.01)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 58.06%
Under 0.5 41.94% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 21.61% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.39%

Score analysis

Penarol 46.82%
Draw 28.37%
Danubio 24.8%
Penarol
1-0 @ 14.83%
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 46.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.37%
Danubio
0-1 @ 9.85% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 4.28% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.8%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2022 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Juan Ramos 27' yellowcard
  • Yonatthan Rak 41' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cristoforo 59' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 61' yellowcard
  • Brian Lozano 68' goal
  • Nicolas Milesi 85' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 90'+2' redcard
  • Lucas Viatri 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Silva 19'
  • yellowcard Martin Rea 28'
  • goal Guillermo May 32'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Bortagaray 38'
  • yellowcard Diego Vicente 67'
  • redcard Diego Vicente 70'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Leandro Navarro 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jorge Fossati 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Diego Vicente 55' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Hernandez 72' yellowcard
  • Leandro Sosa 72' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Fernandez 77' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Evans 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Olivera 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Juan Ramos 53'
  • yellowcard Damian Musto 70'
  • yellowcard Walter Gargano 85'
  • goal Ruben Bentancourt 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Edgarl Elizalde 90'+7'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jan 31, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Monzon 59' yellowcard
  • Santiago Carrera 69' yellowcard
  • Pablo Siles 72' yellowcard
  • Javier Mendez 77' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 80' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Britos 64'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Dec 19, 2020 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Javier Mendez 40' yellowcard
  • Santiago Carrera 46' redcard
  • Martin Comachi 59' yellowcard
  • Martin Comachi 64' goal
  • Mauricio Victorino 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 67' yellowcard
  • Salvador Ichazo 69' yellowcard
  • Javier Mendez 79' redcard
  • Pablo Siles 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Britos 11'
  • goal David Terans 39'
  • goal David Terans 44'
  • redcard David Terans 46'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Mar 7, 2020 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Gary Kagelmacher 49' yellowcard
  • Jesus Trindade 60' yellowcard
  • Cristian Rodriguez 83' goal
  • 84' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pantaleone 65'
  • goal Luciano Nequecaur 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Luciano Nequecaur 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 25, 2019 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlos Grossmuller 45' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mederos 81' yellowcard
  • Renzo Ramirez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guzman Pereira 47'
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 54'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Abascal 63'
  • goal Xisco 66'
  • yellowcard Luis Acevedo 83'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Formiliano 92'