MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 23:10:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Danubio

Hernandez (37', 73')
Arezo (42'), Homenchenko (45+1'), Rossi (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Saravia (36'), Ferreira (84')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Penarol
Sunday, April 9 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, April 9 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDanubio
46.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 28.38% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.8% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 42.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)62.89% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)82.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.03% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.39% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06%41.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.39%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 46.82%
    Danubio 24.8%
    Draw 28.37%
PenarolDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 14.83%
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.37%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.8%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')
Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Monzon (59'), Carrera (69'), Siles (72'), Mendez (77'), Luis Rodriguez (80')
Britos (64')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
Danubio
1-4
Penarol
Comachi (64')
Mendez (40'), Comachi (59'), Victorino (65'), Monzon (67'), Ichazo (69'), Siles (90+2')
Carrera (46'), Mendez (79')
Britos (11'), Terans (39', 44'), Piquerez (89')
Terans (46')
Mar 7, 2020 11pm
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Rodriguez (83' pen.)
Kagelmacher (49'), Trindade (60'), (84'), (86')
Nequecaur (90+1')
Rodriguez (61'), Pantaleone (65'), Nequecaur (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso117312316724
4Defensor SportingDefensor115422113819
5Cerro Largo115331310318
6Boston RiverBoston River115331513218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
9River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
10DanubioDanubio123451216-413
11LiverpoolLiverpool112631717012
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla112361023-139
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77


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