Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.