Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 5, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Carlos Sanchez 29' goal
  • Matias Arezo 71' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Cantera 25'

Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 11.00pm
Defensor 2 - 2 Penarol
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matias Arezo

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 8.00pm
Maldonado 3 - 2 Boston River
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Tomas Fernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result

Penarol 53.53% (-0.31)
Draw 26.82% (-0.03)
Deportivo Maldonado 19.64% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.76% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.01% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 61.99% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 18.27% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 81.73% (-0.30)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 76.54% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.45% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 42.53% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 57.46% (-0.06)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 53.25% (+0.62)
Under 0.5 46.75% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 17.7% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 82.29% (-0.47)

Score analysis

Penarol 53.52%
Draw 26.82%
Deportivo Maldonado 19.64%
Penarol
1-0 @ 15.89% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 8.77% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.61% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 53.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.96% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 3.33% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.82%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 8.34% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.6% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.17% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 19.64%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Aug 22, 2022 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Angel Rodriguez 20' yellowcard
  • Diego Romero 36' yellowcard
  • Facundo Piriz 38' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 57' yellowcard
  • Angel Cayetano 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Viatri 70' goal
  • Guillermo Reyes 80' yellowcard
  • Robinson Ferreira 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 32'
  • goal Yonatthan Rak 47'
  • yellowcard Walter Gargano 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 19, 2022 9.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Eduardo Darias 14' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 54' yellowcard
  • Ramon Arias 76' goal
  • Guillermo Cotugno 87' yellowcard
  • Paulo Lima 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Musto 44'
  • yellowcard Edgarl Elizalde 45'
  • goal Ruben Bentancourt 60'
  • goal Ignacio Laquintana 74'
  • redcard Edgarl Elizalde 80'
  • goal Pablo Ceppelini 88'
  • yellowcard Kevin Dawson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 19, 2022 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Juan Ramos 28' goal
  • Federico Carrizo 67' yellowcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 76' yellowcard
  • Lucas Viatri 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Piriz 22'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 41'
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Cotugno 61'
  • goal Enzo Borges 68'
  • redcard Robinson Ferreira 81'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2021 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Federico Ramos 26' goal
  • Adolfo Lima 62' yellowcard
  • Diego Casas 76' yellowcard
  • Tomas Conechny 81' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 82' yellowcard
  • Facundo Tealde 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Ramos 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Alvarez 64'
  • yellowcard Walter Gargano 65'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 82'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gaitan 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jun 20, 2021 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Walter Gargano 1' goal
  • Pablo Ceppelini 36' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alvarez 43' goal
  • Joaquin Varela 72' goal
  • Agustin Alvarez 82' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Conechny 3'
  • yellowcard Paulo Lima 60'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gonzalez 67'
  • yellowcard Andres Ravecca 86'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Feb 11, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • A 45'+1' goal
  • Facundo Torres 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Tellechea 21'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 33'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 45'+2'
  • redcard Nicolas Olivera 52'
  • yellowcard Danilo Lerda 53'
  • yellowcard Andres Ravecca 60'
  • goal Maximiliano Cantera 69'
  • redcard Andres Ravecca 81'