Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Mar 18, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 0
River Plate

Rodriguez (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-2 Torque
Sunday, March 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Maldonado
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 26.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
PenarolDrawRiver Plate
45.62% (0.037999999999997 0.04)27.92% (-0.463 -0.46)26.46% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 44.76% (1.479 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.51% (1.721 1.72)60.49% (-1.722 -1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.39% (1.284 1.28)80.6% (-1.284 -1.28)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.82599999999999 0.83)26.51% (-0.827 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (1.086 1.09)61.71% (-1.088 -1.09)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (1.343 1.34)39.09% (-1.343 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (1.238 1.24)75.81% (-1.239 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 45.61%
    River Plate 26.46%
    Draw 27.91%
PenarolDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.136 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.36% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.275 -0.28)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.191 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.46%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2023 12am
First Round
River Plate
0-4
Penarol

Pereira (15'), Kidd (62'), Lavega (89')
Arezo (8', 16', 75'), Milans (21')
Oct 16, 2022 10.30pm
Penarol
1-1
River Plate
Bentancourt (64' pen.)
Cristobal (13')
Pereira (64')
May 29, 2022 7pm
River Plate
0-0
Penarol

Pereira (15'), Montiel (17'), Diaz (59'), Brunelli (64'), Alfonso (69')

Musto (29'), Carrizo (64'), Menosse (90')
Nov 14, 2021 7.30pm
River Plate
1-1
Penarol
Galletto (16')
Herrera (90+7')
Ceppelini (67' pen.)
Aug 1, 2021 10pm
Penarol
2-0
River Plate
Alvarez (18'), Torres (32')
Rodriguez (29'), Musto (85')

Rodriguez (47'), Borbas (58'), Montiel (61')
rhs 2.0


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