Copa Sudamericana
Mar 8, 2023 12.00am
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT
  • goal Matias Arezo 8'
  • goal Matias Arezo 16'
  • goal Pedro Milans Carambula 21'
  • goal Pedro Milans 21'
  • goal Matias Arezo 75'

River Plate vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Penarol

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result

River Plate 27.99% (-0.22)
Draw 27.83% (+0.20)
Penarol 44.18% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.98% (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.57% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 59.43% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 20.2% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 79.8% (+0.61)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 62.78% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 37.22% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 26% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 74% (+0.61)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 73.24% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 26.76% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 37.96% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 62.04% (+0.47)

Score analysis

River Plate 27.99%
Draw 27.82%
Penarol 44.18%
River Plate
1-0 @ 9.85% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 6.41% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.96% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.82%
Penarol
0-1 @ 13.13% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 8.65% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 44.18%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Oct 16, 2022 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Ruben Bentancourt 64' goal
  • goal Ramiro Cristobal 13'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 29, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Maxi Pereira 15' yellowcard
  • Marcos Montiel 17' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Diaz 59' yellowcard
  • Santiago Brunelli 64' yellowcard
  • Matias Alfonso 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Musto 29'
  • yellowcard Federico Carrizo 64'
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2021 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tiago Galletto 16' goal
  • Robert Herrera 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Ceppelini 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Aug 1, 2021 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Agustin Alvarez 18' goal
  • Carlos Rodriguez 29' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 32' goal
  • Damian Musto 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 47'
  • yellowcard Thiago Borbas 58'
  • yellowcard Marcos Montiel 61'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Mar 6, 2021 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Giovanni Gonzalez 22' yellowcard
  • Matias Britos 38' goal
  • A 48' goal
  • Matias Britos 52' yellowcard
  • Juan Acosta 74' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Calzada 63'
  • yellowcard Marcos Montiel 66'
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 71'
  • yellowcard Jose Neris 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 17, 2020 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Sergio Nunez 8' yellowcard
  • Sergio Nunez 38' redcard
  • Matias Britos 66' goal
  • goal Jose Neris 19'
  • goal Jose Neris 36'
  • yellowcard Diego Vicente 41'
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 52'
  • yellowcard Ribair Rodriguez 65'