Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.