Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	America Mineiro
49.95% ( 0.4)	26.23% ( 0.34)	23.82% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 47.1% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67% (

-1.82)

56.33% (

1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64% (

-1.49)

77.36% (

1.49)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

-0.59)

22.62% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76% (

-0.88)

56.24% (

0.88)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

-1.69)

39.14% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

-1.62)

75.85% (

1.62)

Score Analysis

Santos 49.94%

America Mineiro 23.82%

Draw 26.22%

Santos	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.94%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.82%