Santos
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Audax Italiano

Santos
0 - 0
Audax

FT
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Santos and Audax Italiano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Santos
Sunday, April 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Audax Italiano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Audax 0-1 Newell's OB
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for an Audax Italiano win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawAudax Italiano
68.08% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)19.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)47.66% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)69.86% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.02% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)12.98% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.52% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)48.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.56% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)83.44% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Santos 68.07%
    Audax Italiano 12.25%
    Draw 19.67%
SantosDrawAudax Italiano
2-0 @ 13.06%
1-0 @ 12.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 68.07%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.67%
0-1 @ 4.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 12.25%