Audax Italiano
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Teniente

Audax
0 - 1
Newell's OB

FT(HT: 0-0)
Aguirre (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Audax Italiano and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Audax Italiano

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Audax 3-2 Catolica
Tuesday, March 7 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-0 Newell's OB
Friday, March 31 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Audax Italiano win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Audax ItalianoDrawNewell's Old Boys
32.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02)26.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)41.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.28% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (0.028000000000006 0.03)52.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)30.16% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)66.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)59.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Audax Italiano 32.54%
    Newell's Old Boys 41.07%
    Draw 26.38%
Audax ItalianoDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.54%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 41.07%

How you voted: Audax vs Newell's OB

Audax Italiano
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Newell's Old Boys
50.0%
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