Copa Sudamericana
Mar 7, 2023 10.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Matias Sepulveda 19' goal
  • Gonzalo Sosa 56' goal
  • Michael Fuentes 58' goal
  • goal Fernando Zampedri 16'
  • goal Fernando Zampedri 36'

Audax Italiano vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Audax Italiano

All competitions

Universidad Catolica

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Audax Italiano would win this match.

Result

Audax Italiano 44.71% (+0.32)
Draw 24.92% (-0.19)
Universidad Catolica 30.37% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.14% (+0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.06% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 46.94% (-0.76)
Over 3.5 30.81% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 69.19% (-0.71)

Audax Italiano Goals

Over 0.5 78.96% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 21.04% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 46.17% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 53.83% (-0.71)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 71.1% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 28.9% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 35.23% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 64.77% (-0.37)

Score analysis

Audax Italiano 44.71%
Draw 24.92%
Universidad Catolica 30.37%
Audax Italiano
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.77% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.84% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.86% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.5% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.15% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.92%
Universidad Catolica
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.18)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 30.37%