Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.