Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 12, 2023 at 12am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
0 - 0
Sao Paulo

FT
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
44.16% (-0.277 -0.28)26.96% (-0.221 -0.22)28.88% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 48.94% (0.91999999999999 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1% (1.044 1.04)55.9% (-1.044 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99% (0.844 0.84)77.01% (-0.843 -0.84)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.33199999999999 0.33)25.16% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.455 0.45)59.88% (-0.455 -0.45)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (0.94499999999999 0.94)34.6% (-0.94600000000001 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.992 0.99)71.32% (-0.992 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 44.16%
    Sao Paulo 28.88%
    Draw 26.95%
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.356 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.88%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 8pm
gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
0-1
Fortaleza

Reinaldo (58'), Patrick (89')
Capixaba (32')
Marcelo (28'), Miguel (51')
May 8, 2022 11pm
gameweek 5
Fortaleza
1-1
Sao Paulo
Pikachu (69')
Marcelo (15'), Pikachu (88')
Luciano (57')
Diego (16'), Gomes (45+2'), Luciano (84')
Nov 11, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 31
Fortaleza
1-1
Sao Paulo
Robson (59')
Robson (39'), Paulista (90+1'), Jussa (90+7')
Benitez (90+3')
Sara (33'), Nestor (58'), Benitez (79'), Welington (86'), Eder (86'), Luciano (86')
Jul 17, 2021 9pm
gameweek 12
Sao Paulo
0-1
Fortaleza

Rojas (36'), Pele (43'), Galeano (67')
Robson (74')
Titi (45'), David (72')
Nov 14, 2020 10pm
gameweek 21
Fortaleza
2-3
Sao Paulo
David (15'), Paulista (74')
Felipe (53'), de Souza (88')
Gomes (40'), Luciano (61', 82')
Hernanes (56'), Nestor (72'), Pele (90+6'), Alves (90+8')