MX23RW : Friday, March 1 20:48:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Coritiba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1 - 1
Sao Paulo
Gomes (12')
Kuscevic (34'), Gomes (38'), Gabriel (66'), Cesar (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paulo (81')
Araujo (78')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coritiba 0-3 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
CoritibaDrawSao Paulo
27.21% (0.377 0.38) 26.93% (0.222 0.22) 45.86% (-0.599 -0.6)
Both teams to score 47.98% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-0.605 -0.6)56.63% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-0.489 -0.49)77.6% (0.491 0.49)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)36.33% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.88% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.12% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.553 -0.55)24.65% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-0.782 -0.78)59.17% (0.78299999999999 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 27.21%
    Sao Paulo 45.86%
    Draw 26.92%
CoritibaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.21%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.206 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.86%

How you voted: Coritiba vs Sao Paulo

Coritiba
31.3%
Draw
12.5%
Sao Paulo
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 12am
gameweek 29
Sao Paulo
3-1
Coritiba
Calleri (2', 63'), Luciano (72')
Luizao (35')
Cadorini (84')
Jun 10, 2022 12am
gameweek 10
Coritiba
1-1
Sao Paulo
Manga (59')
Martinez (38'), Manga (45+3'), Paixao (71')
Calleri (4')
Diego (30'), Gomes (75'), Eder (85')
Jan 23, 2021 10pm
gameweek 32
Sao Paulo
1-1
Coritiba
Luciano (59')
Luciano (21')
Sarrafiore (82')
Silva (70'), Galdezani (84')
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
gameweek 13
Coritiba
1-1
Sao Paulo
Robson (6')
Robson (45+5'), Moura (68')
Reinaldo (69' pen.)
Juanfran (5'), Luciano (50'), Gomes (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras382010864333170
2Gremio38215126356768
3Atletico Mineiro381991052322066
4FlamengoFlamengo381991056421466
5Botafogo3818101058372164
6BragantinoBragantino3817111049351462
7Fluminense38168145147456
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR381414105143856
9InternacionalInternacional381510134645155
10FortalezaFortaleza38159144544154
11Sao Paulo381411134038253
12Cuiaba38149154039151
13Corinthians381214124748-150
14Cruzeiro381114133532347
15Vasco da GamaVasco38129174151-1045
16Bahia38128185053-344
17SantosSantos381110173964-2543
18GoiasGoias38911183653-1738
19Coritiba3886244173-3230
20America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3859244281-3924

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!