Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Sao Paulo
33.94% ( 0.13)	27.06% ( 0.02)	39% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 50.49% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.2% (

-0.06)

54.8% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.89% (

-0.05)

76.11% (

0.05)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

0.06)

30.46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34% (

0.07)

66.66% (

-0.07)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

-0.12)

27.4% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13% (

-0.15)

62.87% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Tigre 33.94%

Sao Paulo 39%

Draw 27.06%

Tigre	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.94%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39%