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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Tigre
2 - 1
Lanus

Castro (36'), Retegui (90+9')
Aguilera (35'), Montoya (76'), Blondel (82'), Molinas (90+1'), Retegui (90+9')
Montoya (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diaz (66')
Acosta (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Tigre
Saturday, March 18 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, March 21 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
TigreDrawLanus
45.77% (0.334 0.33) 28.3% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 25.93% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 43.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.01% (0.029000000000003 0.03)61.99% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.27% (0.023 0.02)81.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (0.187 0.19)27.14% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (0.243 0.24)62.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.22900000000001 -0.23)40.4% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.21 -0.21)77.02% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 45.77%
    Lanus 25.93%
    Draw 28.29%
TigreDrawLanus
1-0 @ 14.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.087 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 45.77%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 25.93%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Lanus
1-2
Tigre
Acosta (46')
Aude (47'), Boggio (58'), Aguirre (64')
Retegui (3'), Castro (87')
Ortega (29'), Menossi (61')
Mar 1, 2022 12.30am
Lanus
0-0
Tigre

Belmonte (41'), Almiron (45+1')

Prediger (47'), Prieto (73'), Demartini (82')
Oct 26, 2018 11pm
Tigre
1-1
Lanus
Gonzalez (68')
Perez Garcia (58'), Moiraghi (70')
Belmonte (75')
Torsiglieri (44'), Acosta (70'), Quignon (85')
rhs 2.0
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