Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.