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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
2 - 1
Arsenal

Mac Allister (30'), Veliz (49')
Ortiz (44'), Mallo (45+1'), Montoya (55'), Infantino (59')
Rodriguez (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guzman (3')
Gariglio (33'), Pena Biafore (84')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 2-2 Rosario
Friday, February 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawArsenal Sarandi
50.91% (0.302 0.3) 28.2% (0.26 0.26) 20.88% (-0.565 -0.57)
Both teams to score 39.09% (-1.206 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.98% (-1.199 -1.2)65.01% (1.196 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.1% (-0.848 -0.85)83.9% (0.845 0.84)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.413 -0.41)26.02% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.556 -0.56)61.05% (0.55399999999999 0.55)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.84% (-1.327 -1.33)47.15% (1.323 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.39% (-1.016 -1.02)82.6% (1.013 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 50.9%
    Arsenal Sarandi 20.88%
    Draw 28.19%
Rosario CentralDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 16.51% (0.53 0.53)
2-0 @ 11.12% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 50.9%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 12.26% (0.53 0.53)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 20.88%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2022 12am
Arsenal
0-3
Rosario

Chimino (20')
Servio (14' pen., 23'), Veliz (34')
Marinelli (31')
Feb 11, 2022 8pm
Arsenal
1-1
Rosario
Lomonaco (10')
Gariglio (32'), Suarez (56'), Miloc (90+3')
Ruben (33')
Tanlongo (72'), Vecchio (90+3')
Aug 25, 2021 6.15pm
Rosario
4-0
Arsenal
Gamba (8', 10', 33'), Ruben (16')
Covea (38')

Ortiz (60')
Ortiz (73')
Mar 15, 2021 10.15pm
Rosario
2-1
Arsenal
Martinez (43'), Rabunal (83')
Sangiovani (38'), Cucchi (58')
Albertengo (90+4')
Suarez (63')
Mar 1, 2020 10.45pm
Rosario
3-1
Arsenal
Ruben (45' pen., 56', 75')
Ruben (60'), Martinez (65'), Lo Celso (87'), Rinaudo (90')
Manuel Garcia (78')
Soraire (26'), Sbuttoni (36'), Pereyra (62'), Papa (84')
Pereyra (90')
rhs 2.0
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