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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
2 - 0
Tigre

Leal dos Anjos (59'), Nahuel Banega (73')
Sporle (5'), Guzman (44'), Sultani (45+4'), Pombo (58'), Medina (84'), Toloza (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Menossi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, March 11 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-0 Tigre
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 Tigre

Even though Arsenal have got the better of Tigre in numerous encounters lately, the visitors' style seems well suited to catch Sarandi on the counter, while Retegui is a difference maker in the attacking third, and we suspect his quality will be enough to help them end their current slide. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawTigre
25.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 46.46%
Both teams to score 45.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15%59.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88%80.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.07%75.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24%60.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 25.9%
    Tigre 46.45%
    Draw 27.63%
Arsenal SarandiDrawTigre
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.01%
2-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.38%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 25.9%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 13.7%
0-2 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-3 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.42%
1-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 46.45%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 12.30am
Tigre
1-4
Arsenal
Armoa (70')
Blondel (45+2')
Navas (39'), Pitton (42'), Apaolaza (45'), Kruspzky (52')
Apr 25, 2022 7.30pm
Tigre
0-0
Arsenal

Obando (75'), Menossi (82')

Miloc (72'), Lomonaco (81')
rhs 2.0
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