Copa Sudamericana
May 2, 2023 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Deportes Tolima vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 3.00am
Tolima 1 - 2 Tigre

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 1.30am
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Puerto Cabello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Deportes Tolima 25.83% (-0.04)
Draw 26.68% (+0.04)
Sao Paulo 47.49% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.64% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.45% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 56.55% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 22.47% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 77.53% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 9.79% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 90.21% (+0.08)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 62.55% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 37.45% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 25.76% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 74.23% (+0.12)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 76.16% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 23.83% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 41.99% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.01% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Deportes Tolima 25.83%
Draw 26.68%
Sao Paulo 47.49%
Deportes Tolima
1-0 @ 8.77% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.93% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.68%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 12.8% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 9.18% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.49%