Copa Sudamericana
Mar 10, 2023 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Junior Hernandez 7' goal

Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Junior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

All competitions

Atletico Junior

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima in this match.

Result

Deportes Tolima 43.57% (-0.11)
Draw 28.72% (+0.17)
Atletico Junior 27.7% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.47% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.49% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 62.5% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 17.89% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 82.11% (+0.42)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 71.46% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 28.54% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 35.67% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 64.33% (+0.42)

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5 60.84% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 39.16% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 24.13% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 75.87% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Deportes Tolima 43.57%
Draw 28.7%
Atletico Junior 27.7%
Deportes Tolima
1-0 @ 14.01% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.78% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 43.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 11.17% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.7%
Atletico Junior
0-1 @ 10.47% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 27.7%