Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Coritiba
57.67% ( -0.24)	23.3% ( 0.1)	19.03% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.76% (

-0.2)

50.24% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8% (

-0.18)

72.19% (

0.18)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

-0.16)

17.17% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.57% (

-0.28)

47.43% (

0.28)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.44% (

0.04)

40.56% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.84% (

0.04)

77.16% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Bahia 57.66%

Coritiba 19.03%

Draw 23.3%

Bahia	Draw	Coritiba
1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.66%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.03%