Coritiba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Nov 16, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio Couto Pereira
Bahia

Coritiba
1 - 2
Bahia

Augusto (3')
Robson (31'), Mailton (72'), Augusto (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elber (36'), Zeca (72')
Danielzinho (57'), Rodrigoinho (71'), Ronaldo (87'), Gregore (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
CoritibaDrawBahia
29.71%29%41.29%
Both teams to score 43.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.31%62.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.76%82.24%
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36%37.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59%74.41%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1%29.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34%66%
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 29.7%
    Bahia 41.29%
    Draw 28.99%
CoritibaDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 29.7%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 13.58%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-3 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 41.29%