Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Cruzeiro
37.51% ( 0.13)	27.62% ( -0.03)	34.87% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 48.89% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.13% (

0.09)

56.88% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.2% (

0.07)

77.8% (

-0.07)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

0.12)

29.26% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

0.15)

65.22% (

-0.15)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11% (

-0.02)

30.89% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.82% (

-0.03)

67.18% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bahia 37.5%

Cruzeiro 34.86%

Draw 27.62%

Bahia	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.5%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.86%