Cruzeiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Santos

Cruzeiro
2 - 1
Santos

Wesley (21', 62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gabriel (57')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-3 Cruzeiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Santos

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Santos
Wednesday, May 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santos had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawSantos
53.39% (-0.147 -0.15)26.57% (0.086000000000002 0.09)20.03% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 41.86% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.17% (-0.234 -0.23)60.83% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.13% (-0.177 -0.18)80.87% (0.172 0.17)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.167 -0.17)23.02% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-0.241 -0.24)56.83% (0.234 0.23)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.38% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)45.62% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.57% (-0.064 -0.06)81.42% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 53.38%
    Santos 20.03%
    Draw 26.56%
CruzeiroDrawSantos
1-0 @ 15.42% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 53.38%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.49% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 20.03%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2019 12am
gameweek 34
Santos
4-1
Cruzeiro
Sasha (23'), Marinho (60'), Soteldo (65'), Pituca (90')
Henrique (49'), Marinho (79')
Manuel Orejuela (14')
Egidio (63'), Bruno (66')
Aug 18, 2019 8pm
gameweek 15
Cruzeiro
2-0
Santos
Fred (44'), Neves (47')
Fred (31'), Neves (45')

Henrique (4')
Sep 23, 2018 11pm
gameweek 26
Cruzeiro
2-1
Santos
Sassa (46'), Raniel (83')
Cerqueira (34'), Egidio (95')
Barbosa (16')
Ferraz (73'), Dodo (83')
May 27, 2018 8pm
Santos
0-1
Cruzeiro

Pituca (63')
Silva (76')
Henrique (18'), Egidio (55'), Edilson (77'), Robinho (78')