Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Santos
42.29% ( 0.96)	29.81% ( -0.1)	27.9% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 40.88% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.23% (

0.02)

65.77% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.57% (

0.02)

84.42% (

-0.02)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11% (

0.57)

30.88% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.83% (

0.66)

67.17% (

-0.67)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.14% (

-0.7)

40.85% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.57% (

-0.64)

77.42% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Newell's Old Boys 42.28%

Santos 27.89%

Draw 29.81%

Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 14.82% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.28%	1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.81%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.89%