Copa Sudamericana
May 3, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
  • Ivan Gomez 84' goal

Newell's Old Boys vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 11.00pm
Newell's OB 3 - 0 Blooming

Santos

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 20, 2023 11.00pm
Santos 0 - 0 Audax

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result

Newell's Old Boys 42.29% (+0.97)
Draw 29.81% (-0.11)
Santos 27.9% (-0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.88% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.23% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 65.77% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 15.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 84.42% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 5.92% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 94.08% (-0.01)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5 69.11% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 30.88% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 32.83% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 67.17% (-0.67)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 59.14% (-0.71)
Under 0.5 40.85% (+0.71)
Over 1.5 22.57% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 77.42% (+0.64)

Score analysis

Newell's Old Boys 42.28%
Draw 29.81%
Santos 27.89%
Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.82% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 8.71% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 7.8% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.41% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 3.05% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-93.20)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 12.61% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.81%
Santos
0-1 @ 11.29% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 27.89%