Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
3 - 0
Blooming

Portillo (27', 62'), Reasco (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Newell's Old Boys and Blooming.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Blooming

All competitions
Last Game: Blooming 0-1 Santos
Wednesday, April 5 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Blooming had a probability of 10.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.23%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Blooming win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawBlooming
70.43% (-3.098 -3.1)18.83% (1.067 1.07)10.73% (2.032 2.03)
Both teams to score 42.78% (4.253 4.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (1.336 1.34)47.94% (-1.336 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (1.215 1.22)70.11% (-1.216 -1.22)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (-0.485 -0.48)12.38% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75% (-1.023 -1.02)38.25% (1.023 1.02)
Blooming Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.82% (5.095 5.1)51.18% (-5.097 -5.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.54% (3.169 3.17)85.46% (-3.169 -3.17)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 70.42%
    Blooming 10.73%
    Draw 18.83%
Newell's Old BoysDrawBlooming
2-0 @ 13.82% (-1.35 -1.35)
1-0 @ 13.23% (-1.02 -1.02)
3-0 @ 9.63% (-1.134 -1.13)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.539 0.54)
3-1 @ 6.45% (0.259 0.26)
4-0 @ 5.03% (-0.702 -0.7)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.381 0.38)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.339 -0.34)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.181 0.18)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 70.42%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.673 0.67)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.358 -0.36)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.594 0.59)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 18.83%
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.395 0.4)
1-2 @ 2.97% (0.614 0.61)
0-2 @ 1.42% (0.315 0.32)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 10.73%