Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Allianz Parque
Coritiba

Palmeiras
3 - 1
Coritiba

Artur (30'), Rony (34', 73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Manga (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Coritiba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Palmeiras
Wednesday, May 31 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Coritiba

All competitions
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Coritiba
Saturday, May 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCoritiba
75.25% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.72% (-0.013 -0.01)9.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.68% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.03% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.65% (0.032000000000004 0.03)61.35% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.23% (0.012999999999991 0.01)8.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)30.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)83.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 75.24%
    Coritiba 9.02%
    Draw 15.72%
PalmeirasDrawCoritiba
2-0 @ 12.68%
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-0 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 75.24%
1-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15.72%
0-1 @ 3.07% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 9.02%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Coritiba

Palmeiras
100%
Draw
0.0%
Coritiba
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 11pm
gameweek 30
Palmeiras
4-0
Coritiba
Mayke (15'), Rony (34'), Gomez (51'), Lopes (77')
Jun 12, 2022 10pm
gameweek 11
Coritiba
0-2
Palmeiras

Biro (36')
Anderson (72')
Dudu (23'), Rony (63')
Dudu (34'), Silva de Freitas (84')
Feb 17, 2021 10.30pm
gameweek 35
Coritiba
1-0
Palmeiras
Jonathan (88')
Neilton (75'), Osman (89')

Kuscevic (18'), Renan (23'), D (66')
Kuscevic (63')
Oct 14, 2020 10pm
gameweek 16
Palmeiras
1-3
Coritiba
Veron (38')
Rafael (21'), Melo (53'), Veron (90+2')
Robson (8', 24'), Augusto (65')
Sasse (3'), Sabino (90+3')