Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 22, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Municipal General Raulino de Oliveira

Fluminense
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Xavier (45+1', 45+1')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Guga (35' og., 35' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Goias 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, June 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
41.27% ( 0.66)	27.24% ( -0.51)	31.49% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.98% (

1.85)

56.01% (

-1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9% (

1.49)

77.1% (

-1.48)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28% (

1.23)

26.72% (

-1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02% (

1.6)

61.98% (

-1.6)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.27% (

0.85)

32.73% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

0.94)

69.29% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 41.26%

Atletico Mineiro 31.49%

Draw 27.24%

Fluminense	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.49%